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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Amcor plc (AMCR)

Materials · Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$43.85
52-week range$35.15 – $48.76
Market cap$20.3B
P/E (trailing)36.7×
EV / EBITDA9.9×
Free-cash-flow yield6.0%
Dividend yield4.7%
Revenue (last 12 months)$23.5B
Revenue growth (3y a year)19.9%
Operating margin8.1%
Return on invested capital6.3%
Net debt / EBITDA4.2×

Fair value

Blended fair value$66.50 range $62 – $72
Versus priceUndervalued+52% to fair value
Peer multiples$55.49
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$94.57
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$49.44
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$15.95
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

55/ 100 · High confidence · ahead of 61% of sector peers
Valuation72
Growth63
Profitability45
Financial health37
Dividends59

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

33.4143.5453.6863.8273.95Fair value $662021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Amcor makes packaging used for food, drinks, medical products, home care and personal care items. It produces flexible films and pouches as well as rigid plastic containers for customers such as consumer goods companies and healthcare firms. Revenue comes from selling this packaging under supply contracts, and part of the price follows the cost of resins and other raw materials, which are passed through to customers.

Trailing twelve-month revenue stands at $23.5 billion. Revenue growth over three years averaged 19.9% a year. Operating margin is 8.1% and return on invested capital is 6%. Net debt to EBITDA is 4.2 times. It pays a dividend with a yield of 4.7%. These figures describe past results as reported and are a factual snapshot, not a forecast. Some measures, such as margins for real estate trusts and banks, are defined differently from those of industrial firms, so comparisons should be made with care.

StocksXray gives Amcor plc an X-Ray Score of 55 out of 100 (high confidence), ahead of 61% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is valuation (72) and its weakest is financial health (37).

Our fair value blend is $66.50 (range $62.18 to $71.78). At $43.85 the stock trades 34% below that blend, so the label is "Undervalued" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
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Amcor plc (AMCR)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2023FY2024FY2024FY2025FY2026Now
Price$38.86$43.17$50.67$42.66$42.74$43.85
Market cap$4.8B$12.4B$6.0B$13.6B$19.8B$20.3B
P/E7.9×17.1×11.6×26.7×18.0×36.7×
EV / revenue1.2×1.4×1.3×1.8×1.4×1.4×
EV / EBITDA13.0×10.3×15.1×15.5×9.7×9.9×
Price / free cash flow4.7×15.0×6.5×16.8×16.1×16.5×
Free-cash-flow yield21.2%6.7%15.4%6.0%6.2%6.0%
Price / book1.5×3.2×1.7×1.2×1.7×1.7×
Dividend yield–5.76%–5.95%6.05%4.74%

Fundamentals checklist ● 4 Good · ● 5 Average · ● 7 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−2.8%Bad
Free-cash-flow yield6.0%Good

Risk models

Altman Z score1.2×Bad
Piotroski F-Score8 of 9Good

Growth

EPS growth (3y)−1.9%Average
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)14.0%Average
Revenue growth (3y)19.9%Good
Growth consistency50%Bad

Balance sheet

Current ratio1.3×Bad
Net debt / EBITDA4.2×Bad
Interest cover2.8×Bad

Valuation

Fair value vs price1.5×Good
EBIT / EV yield5.5%Average

Profitability

Return on invested capital6.3%Average
Operating margin8.1%Bad
Gross profitability12.6%Average

Red flags

  • Heavy dilution — Share count up more than 5% year on year
stocksxray.com · page 2
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Amcor plc (AMCR)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY23FY24FY24FY25FY26LTM
Revenue10,41013,64010,07115,00923,50623,506
Gross profit2,0382,7122,0162,8344,6904,690
Operating income9921,2148861,0091,8991,899
Net income6097305165111,1061,106
Diluted EPS ($)4.952.524.381.602.381.19
Free cash flow1,0148299218101,2291,229
Gross margin19.6%19.9%20.0%18.9%20.0%20.0%
Operating margin9.5%8.9%8.8%6.7%8.1%8.1%
Net margin5.9%5.4%5.1%3.4%4.7%4.7%
Balance sheetFY23FY24FY24FY25FY26LTM
Total assets16,58716,52416,61337,06637,09537,095
Cash9895888658271,1151,115
Total debt9,0886,6998,31514,09814,01214,012
Equity3,2163,8813,60811,72811,79011,790
Dividend per share ($)–2.49–2.542.592.08

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY23FY24FY24FY25FY26

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%7%13%20%FY23FY24FY24FY25FY26

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)3,3335,0825,7455,4495,9146,398
Growth vs a year earlier−2.3%+43.8%+71.3%+68.1%+77.4%+25.9%
Net income ($M)196-39262177278389
Diluted EPS ($)0.68-0.020.110.380.60–
stocksxray.com · page 3
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Amcor plc (AMCR)

Peers in Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

CompanyX-Ray
AMCR · Amcor plc55
AVY · Avery Dennison Corp60
PKG · Packaging Corp Of America56
SW · Smurfit Westrock plc52
IP · International Paper Co36

Market Compass outlook for Materials: Neutral (50/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+5.1%
1 month+3.5%
3 months+2.9%
6 months+7.8%
1 year+15.6%
3 years+15.5%
5 years−3.8%

Technical summary

DailyBullish10 bullish · 1 neutral · 5 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bullish9 bullish · 1 neutral · 2 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bullish6 bullish · 1 neutral · 1 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$43.94 / $41.86
52-week low / high$35.15 / $48.76
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 43.06 · S1 43.45 · P – · R1 44.39 · R2 44.94

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
4 Sep 2026$0.6500
28 May 2026$0.6500
25 Feb 2026$0.6500
28 Nov 2025$0.1300
5 Sep 2025$0.1280
22 May 2025$0.1280
stocksxray.com · page 4
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Amcor plc (AMCR)

Strengths

  • Revenue growth of 19.9% a year over three years is ahead of 89% of its sector peers.
  • Free-cash-flow yield of 6.0% is ahead of 79% of its sector peers.
  • Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.

Risks and weak spots

  • Earnings backed by cash is weak against Materials peers (−2.8%).
  • Altman Z score is weak against Materials peers (1.2×).
  • Growth consistency is weak against Materials peers (50%).
  • Current ratio is weak against Materials peers (1.3×).
  • Net debt / EBITDA is weak against Materials peers (4.2×).
  • Interest cover is weak against Materials peers (2.8×).
  • Operating margin is weak against Materials peers (8.1%).
  • The Altman Z score of 1.2× is in the distress zone.

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
29 Sep 2026DEF 14A
14 Aug 202610-K
14 Aug 20268-K4.01,9.01
12 Aug 20268-K2.02,9.01
15 Jun 20268-K5.02,9.01
7 May 202610-Q
6 May 20268-K2.02,9.01
6 May 20268-K5.03

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026