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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Constellation Energy Corp (CEG)

Utilities · Electric Utilities · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$271.37
52-week range$228.28 – $409.40
Market cap$97.7B
P/E (trailing)26.3×
EV / EBITDA14.7×
Free-cash-flow yield0.3%
Dividend yield0.6%
Revenue (last 12 months)$31.3B
Revenue growth (3y a year)1.5%
Operating margin14.7%
Return on invested capital5.7%
Net debt / EBITDA2.9×

Fair value

Blended fair value$136.56 range $80 – $123
Versus priceOvervalued−50% to fair value
Peer multiples$58.66
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$100.69
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$250.32
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$14.72
Model uncertaintyHigh

X-Ray Score

44/ 100 · Medium confidence · ahead of 29% of sector peers
Valuation27
Growth44
Profitability30
Financial health80
Dividends43

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

18.65120221322423Fair value $1372022-012023-032024-062025-082026-10

Executive summary

Constellation Energy generates and supplies electricity from a fleet built around nuclear power that also includes natural gas, hydro, wind and solar plants. It supplies energy to businesses, utilities, government bodies and homes across the United States, and offers clean energy products and services to large customers. It was formed when Exelon separated its generation and retail business from its utility companies.

Revenue comes from power supplied under contracts and on wholesale markets, plus retail electricity and natural gas supply and related energy services. In the last twelve months it was $31.3 billion, growing at 1.5% a year across the last three years. The operating margin is 14.7%, and the business earns a profit of 6% on the capital invested in it. It has net debt of 2.9 times EBITDA. A dividend is paid, with a yield of 0.6%.

StocksXray gives Constellation Energy Corp an X-Ray Score of 44 out of 100 (medium confidence), ahead of 29% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is financial health (80) and its weakest is valuation (27).

Our fair value blend is $136.56 (range $79.68 to $122.82). At $271.37 the stock trades 99% above that blend, so the label is "Overvalued" with high model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
XStocksXray
Constellation Energy Corp (CEG)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price–$83.74$114.93$221.48$351.71$271.37
Market cap–$27.6B$37.2B$69.8B$110.4B$97.7B
P/E––22.9×18.6×47.5×26.3×
EV / revenue–1.4×1.9×3.2×4.5×3.9×
EV / EBITDA–11.4×11.3×10.7×20.4×14.8×
Price / free cash flow––––85.7×316.2×
Free-cash-flow yield–−14.7%−20.7%−7.2%1.2%0.3%
Price / book–2.5×3.4×5.3×7.6×3.1×
Dividend yield–0.17%0.25%0.16%0.11%0.62%

Fundamentals checklist ● 6 Good · ● 3 Average · ● 4 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−0.8%Bad
Free-cash-flow yield0.3%Good

Risk models

Altman Z score1.5×Good
Piotroski F-Score6 of 9Average

Growth

Revenue growth (3y)1.5%Average
Growth consistency80%Average

Balance sheet

Current ratio1.5×Good
Net debt / EBITDA2.9×Good
Interest cover5.9×Good

Valuation

Fair value vs price0.5×Bad
EBIT / EV yield3.8%Bad

Profitability

Return on invested capital5.7%Good
Operating margin14.7%Bad

Red flags

  • Dividend may be at risk — Dividends exceed free cash flow
stocksxray.com · page 2
XStocksXray
Constellation Energy Corp (CEG)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue19,64924,44024,91823,56825,53331,270
Gross profit––––––
Operating income-3464951,6104,3523,0864,596
Net income-205-1601,6233,7492,3193,465
Diluted EPS ($)0.00-0.495.0111.897.4010.34
Free cash flow-2,667-4,042-7,723-5,0291,288309
Gross margin––––––
Operating margin−1.8%2.0%6.5%18.5%12.1%14.7%
Net margin−1.0%−0.7%6.5%15.9%9.1%11.1%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets48,08646,90950,75852,92657,24998,253
Cash5044223683,0223,641697
Total debt8,5795,7689,2618,4128,99224,700
Equity11,21911,01810,92513,16614,51731,977
Dividend per share ($)–0.140.280.350.39–

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

-2%5%12%18%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)6,7886,1016,5706,07411,1227,504
Growth vs a year earlier+10.2%+11.4%+0.3%+12.9%+63.8%+23.0%
Net income ($M)1188399304321,590513
Diluted EPS ($)0.382.672.97–4.491.42
stocksxray.com · page 3
XStocksXray
Constellation Energy Corp (CEG)

Peers in Electric Utilities

CompanyX-Ray
CEG · Constellation Energy Corp44
EIX · Edison International71
EXC · Exelon Corp66
ES · Eversource Energy66
AEP · American Electric Power Co...63

Market Compass outlook for Utilities: Unfavourable (31/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week−9.0%
1 month+3.3%
3 months+7.2%
6 months−8.1%
1 year−32.4%
3 years+140.4%
5 years–

Technical summary

DailyBearish3 bullish · 4 neutral · 9 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bearish2 bullish · 1 neutral · 9 bearish
MonthlyBearish2 bullish · 1 neutral · 5 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$275.63 / $283.56
52-week low / high$228.28 / $409.40
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 265.43 · S1 268.40 · P – · R1 275.26 · R2 279.15

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
18 Aug 2026$0.4270
15 May 2026$0.4270
9 Mar 2026$0.4270
17 Nov 2025$0.3880
18 Aug 2025$0.3880
16 May 2025$0.3880
stocksxray.com · page 4
XStocksXray
Constellation Energy Corp (CEG)

Strengths

  • Return on invested capital of 5.7% is ahead of 73% of its sector peers.
  • Free-cash-flow yield of 0.3% is ahead of 77% of its sector peers.
  • Interest cover of 5.9× is ahead of 82% of its sector peers.
  • Net debt is only 2.9× EBITDA, ahead of 95% of its sector peers.
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.

Risks and weak spots

  • Earnings backed by cash is weak against Utilities peers (−0.8%).
  • Fair value vs price is weak against Utilities peers (0.5×).
  • EBIT / EV yield is weak against Utilities peers (3.8%).
  • Operating margin is weak against Utilities peers (14.7%).
  • The Altman Z score of 1.5× is in the distress zone.
  • The price is above our fair value range, so good news may already be in the price.
  • Red flag: Dividend may be at risk (Dividends exceed free cash flow).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
6 Aug 202610-Q
6 Aug 20268-K2.02,7.01,9.01
5 Aug 20268-K5.02,9.01
14 Jul 20268-K8.01
2 Jun 20268-K8.01,9.01
11 May 202610-Q
11 May 20268-K2.02,7.01,9.01
1 May 20268-K5.07

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026