S&P 5007,659▼ 1.09%Nasdaq26,140▼ 2.15%Dow Jones52,002▼ 0.34%Nasdaq 10029,188▼ 2.50%VIX19.99▲ 21.45%US Dollar101.84▼ 0.21%Gold (GLD)382.01▼ 0.18%Oil (USO)161.76▲ 2.83%
Home › DUK › Research report
← DUK page
XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Duke Energy CORP (DUK)

Utilities · Electric Utilities · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$121.47
52-week range$110.99 – $132.18
Market cap$94.6B
P/E (trailing)18.4×
EV / EBITDA10.8×
Free-cash-flow yield−3.5%
Dividend yield3.5%
Revenue (last 12 months)$32.5B
Revenue growth (3y a year)3.4%
Operating margin27.7%
Return on invested capital5.5%
Net debt / EBITDA5.2×

Fair value

Blended fair value$129.82 range $120 – $152
Versus priceFair+7% to fair value
Peer multiples$143.06
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$144.51
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$101.88
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$26.63
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

60/ 100 · Medium confidence · ahead of 74% of sector peers
Valuation67
Growth62
Profitability65
Financial health48
Dividends52

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

68.9490.86113135157Fair value $1302021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Duke Energy is a large regulated utility holding company that provides electricity and natural gas service to customers in several states in the Carolinas, Florida, the Midwest and nearby areas. It generates power from nuclear, natural gas, coal, hydro and renewable sources, then delivers it through its own grid. Revenue is determined mainly by rates approved by state regulators that allow cost recovery and an authorized return.

Over the last twelve months Duke Energy CORP reported revenue of $32.5 billion, which expanded at 3.4% a year across three years. Its operating margin is 27.7% and its return on invested capital is 5%. Leverage, measured as net debt to EBITDA, is 5.2 times. A dividend is paid, with a yield of 3.5%.

StocksXray gives Duke Energy CORP an X-Ray Score of 60 out of 100 (medium confidence), ahead of 74% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is valuation (67) and its weakest is financial health (48).

Our fair value blend is $129.82 (range $119.94 to $151.91). At $121.47 the stock trades 6% below that blend, so the label is "Fair" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
XStocksXray
Duke Energy CORP (DUK)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$87.36$89.13$87.68$101.33$114.22$121.47
Market cap$67.2B$68.6B$67.6B$78.2B$88.7B$94.6B
P/E17.7×28.1×24.8×17.7×18.1×18.4×
EV / revenue5.5×5.0×5.2×5.4×5.7×5.7×
EV / EBITDA12.2×12.2×11.2×11.4×11.0×10.9×
Price / free cash flow–––1,629.7×––
Free-cash-flow yield−2.1%−7.9%−4.0%0.1%−1.9%−3.5%
Price / book1.4×1.4×1.4×1.6×1.7×1.7×
Dividend yield4.46%4.47%4.63%4.09%3.69%3.52%

Fundamentals checklist ● 5 Good · ● 8 Average · ● 1 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−3.3%Average
Free-cash-flow yield−3.5%Average

Risk models

Altman Z score0.6×Bad
Piotroski F-Score6 of 9Average

Growth

EPS growth (3y)25.8%Good
Revenue growth (3y)3.4%Average
Growth consistency90%Good

Balance sheet

Current ratio0.7×Average
Net debt / EBITDA5.2×Good
Interest cover2.4×Average

Valuation

Fair value vs price1.1×Average
EBIT / EV yield4.9%Good

Profitability

Return on invested capital5.5%Average
Operating margin27.7%Good
stocksxray.com · page 2
XStocksXray
Duke Energy CORP (DUK)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue24,48628,67528,67430,05031,74132,518
Gross profit––––––
Operating income5,5006,0127,0707,9268,6269,008
Net income3,9082,5502,8414,5244,9685,139
Diluted EPS ($)4.943.173.545.716.316.61
Free cash flow-1,425-5,440-2,72648-1,694-3,299
Gross margin––––––
Operating margin22.5%21.0%24.7%26.4%27.2%27.7%
Net margin16.0%8.9%9.9%15.1%15.7%15.8%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets169,587178,086176,893186,343195,736198,048
Cash3414092533142452,140
Total debt67,13973,70379,54084,27389,83690,245
Equity49,29649,32249,11250,12751,84254,457
Dividend per share ($)3.903.984.064.144.224.24

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%9%18%27%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026
Revenue ($M)7,2408,2187,3738,3777,7738,995
Growth vs a year earlier+1.6%+9.1%+3.1%+3.1%+7.4%+9.5%
Net income ($M)1,2051,3799841,4211,1841,550
Diluted EPS ($)–1.761.251.81–1.97
stocksxray.com · page 3
XStocksXray
Duke Energy CORP (DUK)

Peers in Electric Utilities

CompanyX-Ray
DUK · Duke Energy CORP60
EIX · Edison International71
EXC · Exelon Corp66
ES · Eversource Energy66
AEP · American Electric Power Co...63

Market Compass outlook for Utilities: Unfavourable (31/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+4.1%
1 month+2.5%
3 months−2.6%
6 months−3.5%
1 year−2.3%
3 years+51.3%
5 years+46.5%

Technical summary

DailyBullish10 bullish · 1 neutral · 5 bearish
WeeklyBullish7 bullish · 1 neutral · 4 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bullish6 bullish · 1 neutral · 1 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$118.94 / $122.54
52-week low / high$110.99 / $132.18
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 118.08 · S1 119.78 · P – · R1 122.39 · R2 123.30

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
13 Nov 2026$1.0850
14 Aug 2026$1.0850
15 May 2026$1.0650
13 Feb 2026$1.0650
14 Nov 2025$1.0650
15 Aug 2025$1.0650
stocksxray.com · page 4
XStocksXray
Duke Energy CORP (DUK)

Strengths

  • Operating margin of 27.7% is ahead of 82% of its sector peers.
  • Net debt is only 5.2× EBITDA, ahead of 78% of its sector peers.
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.
  • Has raised its dividend for 7 years in a row.

Risks and weak spots

  • Altman Z score is weak against Utilities peers (0.6×).
  • The Altman Z score of 0.6× is in the distress zone.
  • Current ratio of 0.7×: short-term liabilities exceed short-term assets.

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
25 Sep 20268-K5.02,8.01,9.01
13 Aug 20268-K8.01,9.01
12 Aug 2026424B5
10 Aug 2026424B5
5 Aug 20268-K7.01,9.01
4 Aug 202610-Q
4 Aug 20268-K2.02,9.01
17 Jul 20268-K7.01,9.01

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026