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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Johnson Controls International plc (JCI)

Industrials · Building Products · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$145.47
52-week range$106.49 – $160.41
Market cap$89.3B
P/E (trailing)26.2×
EV / EBITDA28.8×
Free-cash-flow yield–
Dividend yield1.1%
Revenue (last 12 months)$24.4B
Revenue growth (3y a year)4.6%
Operating margin10.7%
Return on invested capital9.6%
Net debt / EBITDA2.6×

Fair value

Blended fair value$69.70 range $67 – $72
Versus priceOvervalued−52% to fair value
Peer multiples$76.32
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$87.92
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$44.85
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$13.09
Model uncertaintyHigh

X-Ray Score

30/ 100 · Medium confidence · ahead of 5% of sector peers
Valuation10
Growth50
Profitability31
Financial health38
Dividends24

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

35.6868.19101133166Fair value $702021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Commercial buildings are the focus of Johnson Controls International, which provides products, systems and services for them. Its offerings include heating, ventilation and air conditioning equipment, building automation and controls, fire detection and suppression, security systems and ongoing maintenance. Customers include owners and operators of offices, hospitals, schools, data centres and industrial sites. The company is organised into building solutions businesses by region, alongside a global products unit that makes the equipment.

Installing equipment and systems, together with recurring service and maintenance work, generated revenue of $24.4 billion over the last twelve months. Revenue has grown at 4.6% a year across the last three years. The operating margin is 10.7%, the business earns 10% on the capital invested in it, and net debt is 2.6 times EBITDA. The dividend yield is 1.1%.

StocksXray gives Johnson Controls International plc an X-Ray Score of 30 out of 100 (medium confidence), ahead of 5% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is growth (50) and its weakest is valuation (10).

Our fair value blend is $69.70 (range $67.22 to $72.38). At $145.47 the stock trades 109% above that blend, so the label is "Overvalued" with high model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
XStocksXray
Johnson Controls International plc (JCI)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$61.65$45.66$50.55$75.44$108.64$145.47
Market cap$44.5B$31.9B$34.7B$51.0B$71.1B$89.3B
P/E27.2×20.8×18.8×29.9×21.6×26.2×
EV / revenue2.2×1.9×2.0×2.7×3.4×4.0×
EV / EBITDA14.2×19.6×23.6×26.2×28.4×28.8×
Price / free cash flow22.2×–––––
Free-cash-flow yield4.5%–––––
Price / book2.5×2.0×2.1×3.2×5.5×6.6×
Dividend yield1.74%3.04%2.87%1.96%1.39%1.10%

Fundamentals checklist ● 2 Good · ● 4 Average · ● 7 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Risk models

Altman Z score1.1×Bad
Piotroski F-Score6 of 9Average

Growth

EPS growth (3y)31.9%Good
Revenue growth (3y)4.6%Average
Growth consistency70%Average

Balance sheet

Current ratio1.0×Bad
Net debt / EBITDA2.6×Bad
Interest coverno interest costGood

Valuation

Fair value vs price0.5×Bad
EBIT / EV yield2.7%Bad

Profitability

Return on invested capital9.6%Bad
Operating margin10.7%Bad
Gross profitability23.3%Average
stocksxray.com · page 2
XStocksXray
Johnson Controls International plc (JCI)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue23,66820,63722,33122,95223,59624,433
Gross profit8,0597,0907,8048,0778,5928,933
Operating income2,8331,3371,1131,5221,9692,608
Net income1,6371,5321,8491,7053,2913,531
Diluted EPS ($)2.272.192.692.525.035.56
Free cash flow1,999–––––
Gross margin34.1%34.4%34.9%35.2%36.4%36.6%
Operating margin12.0%6.5%5.0%6.6%8.3%10.7%
Net margin6.9%7.4%8.3%7.4%13.9%14.5%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets41,89042,15842,24242,69537,93938,354
Cash1,3362,029828606379698
Total debt7,7409,1328,8249,4939,8809,523
Equity17,56216,26816,54516,09812,92713,518
Dividend per share ($)1.071.391.451.481.511.57

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%12%24%36%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026
Revenue ($M)5,4265,6766,0526,4425,7976,142
Growth vs a year earlier+4.2%+1.4%+2.6%+3.1%+6.8%+8.2%
Net income ($M)4194787011,693524613
Diluted EPS ($)0.630.721.07–0.851.00
stocksxray.com · page 3
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Johnson Controls International plc (JCI)

Peers in Building Products

CompanyX-Ray
JCI · Johnson Controls Internati...30
AOS · Smith A O Corp68
LII · Lennox International Inc62
ALLE · Allegion plc62
MAS · Masco Corp58

Market Compass outlook for Industrials: Neutral (45/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week−7.6%
1 month+3.4%
3 months+4.7%
6 months+3.8%
1 year+32.8%
3 years+186.7%
5 years+132.8%

Technical summary

DailyNeutral7 bullish · 2 neutral · 7 bearish
WeeklyBullish8 bullish · 1 neutral · 3 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bullish7 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$147.25 / $138.68
52-week low / high$106.49 / $160.41
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 142.75 · S1 144.11 · P – · R1 147.82 · R2 150.17

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
21 Sep 2026$0.4000
15 Jun 2026$0.4000
16 Mar 2026$0.4000
22 Dec 2025$0.4000
22 Sep 2025$0.4000
23 Jun 2025$0.3700
stocksxray.com · page 4
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Johnson Controls International plc (JCI)

Strengths

  • Interest cover of no interest cost is ahead of 76% of its sector peers.
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.

Risks and weak spots

  • Altman Z score is weak against Industrials peers (1.1×).
  • Current ratio is weak against Industrials peers (1.0×).
  • Net debt / EBITDA is weak against Industrials peers (2.6×).
  • Fair value vs price is weak against Industrials peers (0.5×).
  • EBIT / EV yield is weak against Industrials peers (2.7%).
  • Return on invested capital is weak against Industrials peers (9.6%).
  • Operating margin is weak against Industrials peers (10.7%).
  • The Altman Z score of 1.1× is in the distress zone.

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
30 Sep 20268-K5.02
29 Jul 202610-Q
29 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
3 Jun 20268-K5.02,7.01,9.01
13 May 20268-K5.02
6 May 202610-Q
6 May 20268-K2.02,9.01
4 May 20268-K5.02

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026