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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Lowes Companies Inc (LOW)

Consumer Discretionary · Home Improvement Retail · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$197.38
52-week range$178.45 – $289.87
Market cap$110.5B
P/E (trailing)16.6×
EV / EBITDA11.5×
Free-cash-flow yield6.3%
Dividend yield2.5%
Revenue (last 12 months)$90.4B
Revenue growth (3y a year)−3.8%
Operating margin11.4%
Return on invested capital29.2%
Net debt / EBITDA2.7×

Fair value

Blended fair value$250.10 range $241 – $259
Versus priceFair+27% to fair value
Peer multiples$255.64
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$343.05
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$151.59
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$83.14
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

49/ 100 · High confidence · ahead of 47% of sector peers
Valuation61
Growth27
Profitability55
Financial health49
Dividends49

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

150185221256292Fair value $2502021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Home improvement is the business of Lowe's, which supplies products and services for maintenance, repair, remodelling and decorating. Its stores and website carry appliances, tools, paint, flooring, lumber, building materials, garden supplies and home decor, and offer installation services. Customers are mainly homeowners doing projects themselves or hiring others, along with professional contractors and tradespeople. The company runs a large store network across the United States and also serves customers online.

Revenue comes from merchandise and installation services purchased by households and contractors. Sales were $90.4 billion over the last twelve months, with growth of -3.8% a year over the last three years, meaning sales have declined. The operating margin is 11.4%, and the business earns a profit of 29% on the capital invested in it. Net debt is 2.7 times EBITDA. It pays a dividend with a yield of 2.5%.

StocksXray gives Lowes Companies Inc an X-Ray Score of 49 out of 100 (high confidence), ahead of 47% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is valuation (61) and its weakest is growth (27).

Our fair value blend is $250.10 (range $241.01 to $259.28). At $197.38 the stock trades 21% below that blend, so the label is "Fair" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
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Lowes Companies Inc (LOW)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026Now
Price$214.78$201.43$208.97$252.13$264.15$197.38
Market cap$150.1B$127.1B$122.0B$143.2B$147.9B$110.5B
P/E17.8×19.8×15.8×20.6×22.3×16.6×
EV / revenue1.8×1.6×1.8×2.1×2.2×1.6×
EV / EBITDA12.4×13.2×11.6×14.2×15.1×11.5×
Price / free cash flow18.2×18.8×19.8×18.6×19.3×15.8×
Free-cash-flow yield5.5%5.3%5.1%5.4%5.2%6.3%
Price / book––––––
Dividend yield1.40%1.96%2.08%1.80%1.80%2.46%

Fundamentals checklist ● 2 Good · ● 11 Average · ● 3 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−4.7%Average
Free-cash-flow yield6.3%Average

Risk models

Altman Z score0.9×Average
Piotroski F-Score6 of 9Average

Growth

EPS growth (3y)5.2%Average
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)4.2%Average
Revenue growth (3y)−3.8%Bad
Growth consistency50%Bad

Balance sheet

Current ratio1.1×Average
Net debt / EBITDA2.7×Average
Interest coverno interest costGood

Valuation

Fair value vs price1.3×Average
EBIT / EV yield7.1%Good

Profitability

Return on invested capital29.2%Average
Operating margin11.4%Bad
Gross profitability53.5%Average

Red flags

  • Negative equity — Book equity is negative
stocksxray.com · page 2
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Lowes Companies Inc (LOW)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26LTM
Revenue96,25097,05986,37783,67486,28690,432
Gross profit32,05632,25728,84427,87728,88529,917
Operating income12,09310,15911,55710,46610,15310,292
Net income8,4426,4377,7266,9576,6546,643
Diluted EPS ($)12.0410.1713.2012.2311.8511.86
Free cash flow8,2606,7606,1767,6987,6517,000
Gross margin33.3%33.2%33.4%33.3%33.5%33.1%
Operating margin12.6%10.5%13.4%12.5%11.8%11.4%
Net margin8.8%6.6%8.9%8.3%7.7%7.3%
Balance sheetFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26LTM
Total assets44,64043,70841,79543,10254,14455,881
Cash1,1331,3489211,7619823,172
Total debt24,72734,45935,92135,48739,92137,556
Equity-4,816-14,254-15,050-14,231-9,917-7,437
Dividend per share ($)3.003.954.354.554.754.85

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%11%22%33%FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Latest quarters

May 2025Aug 2025Oct 2025Jan 2026May 2026Jul 2026
Revenue ($M)20,93023,95920,81320,58523,07825,956
Growth vs a year earlier−2.0%+1.6%+3.2%+10.9%+10.3%+8.3%
Net income ($M)1,6412,3981,6161,0001,6282,399
Diluted EPS ($)2.924.272.88–2.904.27
stocksxray.com · page 3
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Lowes Companies Inc (LOW)

Peers in Home Improvement Retail

CompanyX-Ray
LOW · Lowes Companies Inc49
HD · Home Depot, Inc.43

Market Compass outlook for Consumer Discretionary: Neutral (53/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+6.1%
1 month+1.6%
3 months−3.0%
6 months−20.7%
1 year−16.6%
3 years+3.1%
5 years+5.5%

Technical summary

DailyBearish6 bullish · 1 neutral · 9 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bearish1 bullish · 1 neutral · 10 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bearish0 bullish · 1 neutral · 7 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$199.78 / $227.22
52-week low / high$178.45 / $289.87
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 193.79 · S1 195.58 · P – · R1 199.56 · R2 201.75

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
21 Oct 2026$1.2500
22 Jul 2026$1.2500
22 Apr 2026$1.2000
21 Jan 2026$1.2000
22 Oct 2025$1.2000
23 Jul 2025$1.2000
stocksxray.com · page 4
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Lowes Companies Inc (LOW)

Strengths

  • Interest cover of no interest cost is ahead of 76% of its sector peers.
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.
  • Has raised its dividend for 7 years in a row.

Risks and weak spots

  • Revenue growth (3y) is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (−3.8%).
  • Growth consistency is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (50%).
  • Operating margin is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (11.4%).
  • The Altman Z score of 0.9× is in the distress zone.
  • Red flag: Negative equity (Book equity is negative).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
2 Sep 20268-K5.02
27 Aug 202610-Q
19 Aug 20268-K2.02,9.01
2 Jun 20268-K5.07
28 May 202610-Q
20 May 20268-K2.02,9.01
16 Apr 2026DEF 14A
23 Mar 202610-K

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026