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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Northern Trust Corp (NTRS)

Financials · Asset Management & Custody Banks · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$165.54
52-week range$118.61 – $194.86
Market cap$30.6B
P/E (trailing)13.9×
Dividend yield2.0%
Revenue (last 12 months)$8.3B
Revenue growth (3y a year)6.1%
Price / book2.3×
Return on equity16.7%

Fair value

Blended fair value$116.51 book-value models
Versus priceOvervalued−30% to fair value
Excess-return model (banks, insurers)$92.41
Price / book vs return on equity$152.66
Model uncertaintyHigh

X-Ray Score

41/ 100 · Medium confidence · ahead of 21% of sector peers
Valuation36
Growth45
Profitability50
Financial health43
Dividends17

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

49.9687.10124161199Fair value $1172021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Northern Trust is a Chicago-based financial institution that provides asset servicing, wealth management and asset management. Institutional clients such as pension funds, asset managers and corporations use it to hold, administer and report on their investments, while wealthy individuals and families use its private banking and wealth advice. The business is organised around corporate and institutional services and wealth management, and it also manages money through its asset management arm.

The bank earns income from fees for custody, administration, investment management and wealth advice, together with net interest income on its deposits and loans. Revenue is $8.3 billion over the last twelve months, rising 6.1% a year across the last three years. The operating margin is 36.2%, and the business earns a profit of 29% on the capital invested in it. The dividend yield is 2.0%.

StocksXray gives Northern Trust Corp an X-Ray Score of 41 out of 100 (medium confidence), ahead of 21% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is profitability (50) and its weakest is dividends (17).

Our fair value blend is $116.51. At $165.54 the stock trades 42% above that blend, so the label is "Overvalued" with high model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
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Northern Trust Corp (NTRS)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$103.75$79.04$78.23$98.28$134.57$165.54
Market cap$21.7B$16.5B$16.2B$19.8B$25.9B$30.6B
P/E14.5×12.9×15.4×10.1×15.4×13.9×
Price / book1.8×1.5×1.4×1.6×2.0×2.3×
Dividend yield2.70%3.67%3.83%3.05%2.30%1.98%

Fundamentals checklist ● 2 Good · ● 3 Average · ● 2 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Risk models

Piotroski F-Score5 of 9Bad

Growth

EPS growth (3y)12.5%Average
Revenue growth (3y)6.1%Average
Growth consistency90%Average

Valuation

Fair value vs price0.7×Bad

Profitability

Return on invested capital29.2%Good
Operating margin36.2%Good

Red flags

  • Dividend may be at risk — Dividends exceed free cash flow
stocksxray.com · page 2
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Northern Trust Corp (NTRS)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue6,4656,7616,7748,2908,0868,332
Net income1,5451,3361,1072,0311,7372,241
Diluted EPS ($)7.146.145.089.778.7411.88
Net margin23.9%19.8%16.3%24.5%21.5%26.9%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets183,890155,037150,783155,508177,133179,297
Cash3,0574,6544,7924,6775,8735,737
Total debt––––––
Equity12,01711,26011,89812,78812,95813,402
Dividend per share ($)2.802.903.003.003.10–

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%34%67%101%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)1,2141,2311,2664,3761,3411,350
Growth vs a year earlier+6.2%+5.6%+5.8%−8.5%+10.5%+9.6%
Net income ($M)392421458466526792
Diluted EPS ($)1.902.132.29–2.71–
stocksxray.com · page 3
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Northern Trust Corp (NTRS)

Peers in Asset Management & Custody Banks

CompanyX-Ray
NTRS · Northern Trust Corp41
AMP · Ameriprise Financial Inc60
APO · Apollo Global Management,...51
STT · State Street Corp50
BX · Blackstone Inc.49

Market Compass outlook for Financials: Favourable (72/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week−1.6%
1 month−6.4%
3 months−9.0%
6 months+5.0%
1 year+30.2%
3 years+163.7%
5 years+66.3%

Technical summary

DailyBearish2 bullish · 4 neutral · 10 bearish
WeeklyNeutral6 bullish · 1 neutral · 5 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bullish7 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$179.17 / $163.01
52-week low / high$118.61 / $194.86
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 162.17 · S1 163.86 · P – · R1 168.05 · R2 170.55

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
4 Sep 2026$0.8800
5 Jun 2026$0.8000
6 Mar 2026$0.8000
5 Dec 2025$0.8000
5 Sep 2025$0.8000
6 Jun 2025$0.7500
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Northern Trust Corp (NTRS)

Strengths

  • Return on invested capital of 29.2% is ahead of 82% of its sector peers.
  • Operating margin of 36.2% is ahead of 71% of its sector peers.

Risks and weak spots

  • Piotroski F-Score is weak against Financials peers (5 of 9).
  • Fair value vs price is weak against Financials peers (0.7×).
  • The price is above our fair value range, so good news may already be in the price.
  • Red flag: Dividend may be at risk (Dividends exceed free cash flow).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
29 Sep 20268-K5.02,7.01,9.01
3 Aug 20268-K8.01,9.01
30 Jul 202610-Q
22 Jul 20268-K2.02,7.01,9.01
30 Apr 202610-Q
22 Apr 20268-K5.07,9.01
21 Apr 20268-K7.01,9.01
21 Apr 20268-K2.02,7.01,9.01

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026