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Research report · 16 October 2026

Phillips 66 (PSX)

Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$293.17
52-week range$123.27 – $297.42
Market cap$118.0B
P/E (trailing)16.7×
EV / EBITDA–
Free-cash-flow yield7.6%
Dividend yield1.7%
Revenue (last 12 months)$152.2B
Revenue growth (3y a year)−8.0%
Operating margin–
Return on invested capital–
Net debt / EBITDA–

Fair value

Blended fair value$314.05 book-value models
Versus priceFair+7% to fair value
Peer multiples$314.05
Model uncertaintyHigh

X-Ray Score

50/ 100 · Low confidence · ahead of 50% of sector peers
Valuation56
Growth32
Profitability29
Financial health85
Dividends55

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

42.58114186258329Fair value $3142021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Phillips 66 is an energy manufacturing and logistics company. It refines crude oil into gasoline, diesel and jet fuel, operates pipelines and terminals, makes chemicals through a joint venture, and markets fuels and lubricants. Revenue comes from selling refined products and chemicals and from transportation fees, so earnings depend on the gap between crude costs and product prices, known as the refining margin.

Over the last twelve months Phillips 66 reported revenue of $152.2 billion, which fell 8.0% a year over the past three years. Shareholders receive a dividend, yielding 1.7%. These readings summarise reported results and do not forecast future performance. The figures describe past results only and are drawn from the latest reported period.

StocksXray gives Phillips 66 an X-Ray Score of 50 out of 100 (low confidence), ahead of 50% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is financial health (85) and its weakest is profitability (29).

Our fair value blend is $314.05. At $293.17 the stock trades 7% below that blend, so the label is "Fair" with high model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
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Phillips 66 (PSX)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$61.14$91.46$121.71$107.56$126.39$293.17
Market cap$26.9B$43.3B$55.2B$45.4B$51.6B$118.0B
P/E20.6×3.9×7.9×21.6×11.7×16.7×
EV / revenue0.4×0.3×0.5×0.5×0.5×0.9×
EV / EBITDA––––––
Price / free cash flow4.5×4.0×7.8×10.8×10.4×13.2×
Free-cash-flow yield22.3%25.0%12.7%9.2%9.6%7.6%
Price / book1.4×1.5×1.8×1.7×1.8×3.7×
Dividend yield5.92%4.19%3.45%4.18%3.76%1.71%

Fundamentals checklist ● 1 Good · ● 6 Average · ● 1 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−2.2%Bad

Risk models

Piotroski F-Score8 of 9Good

Growth

EPS growth (3y)−22.6%Average
Revenue growth (3y)−8.0%Average
Growth consistency50%Average

Balance sheet

Current ratio1.3×Average

Valuation

Fair value vs price1.1×Average

Profitability

Gross profitability24.4%Average
stocksxray.com · page 2
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Phillips 66 (PSX)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue111,476169,990147,399143,153132,376152,167
Gross profit9,37420,05819,31313,19116,28319,931
Operating income––––––
Net income1,31711,0247,0152,1174,4037,093
Diluted EPS ($)2.9723.2715.484.9910.7917.52
Free cash flow6,01710,8137,0294,1914,9628,925
Gross margin8.4%11.8%13.1%9.2%12.3%13.1%
Operating margin––––––
Net margin1.2%6.5%4.8%1.5%3.3%4.7%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets55,59476,44275,50172,58273,68081,810
Cash3,1476,1333,3231,7381,1164,099
Total debt14,44817,19019,35920,06219,71620,565
Equity19,16629,49430,58327,40829,09331,506
Dividend per share ($)3.623.834.204.504.754.94

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%4%9%13%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)30,43033,32334,51534,10832,54051,004
Growth vs a year earlier−15.0%−12.6%−2.9%+1.3%+6.9%+53.1%
Net income ($M)4878771332,9062073,847
Diluted EPS ($)1.182.150.32–0.519.55
stocksxray.com · page 3
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Phillips 66 (PSX)

Peers in Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

CompanyX-Ray
PSX · Phillips 6650
MPC · Marathon Petroleum Corp48
VLO · Valero Energy Corp43

Market Compass outlook for Energy: Favourable (87/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+5.4%
1 month+6.9%
3 months+41.2%
6 months+89.9%
1 year+133.0%
3 years+188.6%
5 years+328.0%

Technical summary

DailyBullish12 bullish · 0 neutral · 4 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bullish11 bullish · 0 neutral · 1 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bullish7 bullish · 0 neutral · 1 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$255.58 / $190.21
52-week low / high$123.27 / $297.42
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 285.14 · S1 289.16 · P – · R1 296.30 · R2 299.42

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
18 Aug 2026$1.2700
18 May 2026$1.2700
23 Feb 2026$1.2700
17 Nov 2025$1.2000
19 Aug 2025$1.2000
19 May 2025$1.2000
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Phillips 66 (PSX)

Strengths

  • Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.
  • Has raised its dividend for 7 years in a row.

Risks and weak spots

  • Earnings backed by cash is weak against Energy peers (−2.2%).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
5 Oct 20268-K5.02
21 Aug 20268-K1.01,2.03,9.01
5 Aug 202610-Q
5 Aug 20268-K2.02,9.01
14 May 20268-K5.07
29 Apr 202610-Q
29 Apr 20268-K2.02,9.01
6 Apr 20268-K2.02,9.01

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026