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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG)

Consumer Discretionary · Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$163.45
52-week range$149.40 – $219.22
Market cap$125.9B
P/E (trailing)–
EV / EBITDA13.1×
Free-cash-flow yield7.6%
Dividend yield12.8%
Revenue (last 12 months)$28.2B
Revenue growth (3y a year)16.3%
Operating margin32.9%
Return on invested capital–
Net debt / EBITDA0.3×

Fair value

Blended fair value$349.58 range $296 – $392
Versus priceUndervalued+114% to fair value
Peer multiples$239.06
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$460.10
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$91.85
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

69/ 100 · Medium confidence · ahead of 94% of sector peers
Valuation78
Growth80
Profitability64
Financial health67
Dividends41

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

44.17136228320412Fair value $3502021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Booking Holdings runs online travel brands such as Booking.com, Priceline, Agoda, Kayak and OpenTable. Customers use these platforms to reserve hotels, rental homes, flights, rental cars and restaurant tables. The company earns money mainly through commissions and fees from accommodation and travel providers, and from advertising, so its results follow global travel demand, especially in Europe and Asia.

Over the last twelve months Booking Holdings Inc. reported revenue of $28.2 billion. Over three years revenue has grown by 16.3% a year. The operating margin is 32.9%. Net debt to EBITDA is 0.3 times. It pays a dividend with a yield of 12.8%. Return on invested capital describes how much profit the business earns relative to the money put into it.

StocksXray gives Booking Holdings Inc. an X-Ray Score of 69 out of 100 (medium confidence), ahead of 94% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is growth (80) and its weakest is dividends (41).

Our fair value blend is $349.58 (range $296.23 to $392.19). At $163.45 the stock trades 53% below that blend, so the label is "Undervalued" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
XStocksXray
Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$93.75$78.74$138.60$195.86$212.68$163.45
Market cap$3.9B$3.2B$5.1B$6.7B$6.9B$125.9B
P/E3.3×1.0×1.2×1.1×1.3×–
EV / revenue0.3×0.2×0.3×0.3×0.3×4.6×
EV / EBITDA1.3×0.6×1.0×0.9×0.9×13.1×
Price / free cash flow1.5×0.5×0.7×0.8×0.8×13.2×
Free-cash-flow yield64.9%196.2%138.2%118.3%130.9%7.6%
Price / book0.6×1.1×––––
Dividend yield–––4.47%4.51%12.81%

Fundamentals checklist ● 10 Good · ● 2 Average · ● 1 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Free-cash-flow yield7.6%Good

Risk models

Altman Z score7.0×Good
Piotroski F-Score7 of 9Good

Growth

EPS growth (3y)29.4%Good
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)13.7%Average
Revenue growth (3y)16.3%Good
Growth consistency100%Good

Balance sheet

Current ratio1.1×Average
Net debt / EBITDA0.3×Good
Interest cover8.4×Bad

Valuation

Fair value vs price2.1×Good
EBIT / EV yield7.2%Good

Profitability

Operating margin32.9%Good

Red flags

  • Negative equity — Book equity is negative
  • Dividend may be at risk — Dividends exceed free cash flow
stocksxray.com · page 2
XStocksXray
Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue10,95817,09021,36523,73926,91728,241
Gross profit––––––
Operating income2,4965,1025,8357,5558,8259,284
Net income1,1653,0584,2895,8825,404–
Diluted EPS ($)28.1776.35117.40172.69165.57–
Free cash flow2,5166,1866,9997,8949,0879,539
Gross margin––––––
Operating margin22.8%29.9%27.3%31.8%32.8%32.9%
Net margin10.6%17.9%20.1%24.8%20.1%–
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets23,64125,36124,34227,70829,26429,682
Cash11,12712,22112,10716,16417,20317,214
Total debt10,92612,48514,18416,59818,73620,180
Equity6,1782,782-2,744-4,020-5,578-10,783
Dividend per share ($)–––8.759.609.64

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%11%22%33%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)4,7626,7989,0086,3495,5327,352
Growth vs a year earlier+7.9%+16.0%+12.7%+16.0%+16.2%+8.1%
Net income ($M)––––––
Diluted EPS ($)0.401.1084.41–1.362.53
stocksxray.com · page 3
XStocksXray
Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG)

Peers in Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

CompanyX-Ray
BKNG · Booking Holdings Inc.69
EXPE · Expedia Group, Inc.64
CCL · Carnival Corp Ltd.57
ABNB · Airbnb, Inc.51
RCL · Royal Caribbean Cruises Lt...48

Market Compass outlook for Consumer Discretionary: Neutral (53/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+1.9%
1 month−4.1%
3 months−8.7%
6 months−14.5%
1 year−18.8%
3 years+36.2%
5 years+69.1%

Technical summary

DailyBearish4 bullish · 4 neutral · 8 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bearish1 bullish · 1 neutral · 10 bearish
MonthlyBearish2 bullish · 1 neutral · 5 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$182.27 / $179.09
52-week low / high$149.40 / $219.22
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 159.17 · S1 161.31 · P – · R1 166.92 · R2 170.39

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
11 Sep 2026$0.4200
5 Jun 2026$0.4200
6 Mar 2026$10.5000
5 Dec 2025$9.6000
5 Sep 2025$9.6000
6 Jun 2025$9.6000
stocksxray.com · page 4
XStocksXray
Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG)

Strengths

  • Operating margin of 32.9% is ahead of 97% of its sector peers.
  • Revenue growth of 16.3% a year over three years is ahead of 86% of its sector peers.
  • Free-cash-flow yield of 7.6% is ahead of 72% of its sector peers.
  • Net debt is only 0.3× EBITDA, ahead of 71% of its sector peers.
  • Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.

Risks and weak spots

  • Interest cover is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (8.4×).
  • Red flag: Negative equity (Book equity is negative).
  • Red flag: Dividend may be at risk (Dividends exceed free cash flow).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
4 Aug 202610-Q
4 Aug 20268-K2.02,9.01
2 Jun 20268-K5.07,9.01
11 May 20268-K1.01,2.03,8.01,9.01
7 May 20268-K1.01,2.03,8.01,9.01
5 May 2026424B5
5 May 2026424B5
28 Apr 202610-Q

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026