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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE)

Consumer Discretionary · Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$288.95
52-week range$184.28 – $341.51
Market cap$35.4B
P/E (trailing)17.9×
EV / EBITDA9.9×
Free-cash-flow yield12.6%
Dividend yield0.6%
Revenue (last 12 months)$15.7B
Revenue growth (3y a year)8.1%
Operating margin16.0%
Return on invested capital–
Net debt / EBITDA-0.5×

Fair value

Blended fair value$530.52 range $472 – $589
Versus priceUndervalued+84% to fair value
Peer multiples$366.04
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$695.00
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$116.94
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

64/ 100 · Medium confidence · ahead of 91% of sector peers
Valuation83
Growth67
Profitability64
Financial health52
Dividends38

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

52.16194336478619Fair value $5312021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Expedia Group operates online travel brands including Expedia, Hotels.com and Vrbo, along with a business-to-business platform that supplies travel booking technology to partners. Travelers use these sites to book lodging, flights, car rentals and activities. The company earns revenue mainly from commissions and fees on bookings, from advertising on its platforms, and from fees paid by corporate and travel-agency partners that use its services.

Sales reached $15.7 billion in the last twelve months, having grown 8.1% a year over the past three years. Operating profit equals 16.0% of revenue. Net debt to EBITDA is -0.5 times, which means the company holds more cash than debt. It pays a dividend, and the yield is 0.6%.

StocksXray gives Expedia Group, Inc. an X-Ray Score of 64 out of 100 (medium confidence), ahead of 91% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is valuation (83) and its weakest is dividends (38).

Our fair value blend is $530.52 (range $471.72 to $588.98). At $288.95 the stock trades 46% below that blend, so the label is "Undervalued" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

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Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$178.25$86.40$149.71$183.78$281.69$288.95
Market cap$26.7B$14.0B$22.5B$25.3B$37.2B$35.4B
P/E–39.8×28.2×20.5×28.7×17.9×
EV / revenue3.6×1.4×1.9×2.0×2.6×2.1×
EV / EBITDA30.8×8.6×13.3×12.6×13.6×9.9×
Price / free cash flow8.7×5.0×12.2×10.9×12.0×7.9×
Free-cash-flow yield11.5%19.9%8.2%9.2%8.4%12.6%
Price / book13.0×6.1×14.7×16.3×28.9×29.3×
Dividend yield––––0.57%0.64%

Fundamentals checklist ● 8 Good · ● 2 Average · ● 4 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−10.9%Good
Free-cash-flow yield12.6%Good

Risk models

Altman Z score0.0×Bad
Piotroski F-Score7 of 9Good

Growth

EPS growth (3y)65.3%Good
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)3.8%Bad
Revenue growth (3y)8.1%Average
Growth consistency100%Good

Balance sheet

Current ratio0.8×Bad
Net debt / EBITDA-0.5×Good
Interest cover7.1×Bad

Valuation

Fair value vs price1.8×Good
EBIT / EV yield7.4%Good

Profitability

Operating margin16.0%Average
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Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue8,59811,66712,83913,69114,73315,700
Gross profit––––––
Operating income1861,0851,0331,3191,8712,507
Net income153436881,2241,3012,043
Diluted EPS ($)-1.802.175.318.959.8116.11
Free cash flow3,0752,7781,8442,3293,1104,459
Gross margin––––––
Operating margin2.2%9.3%8.0%9.6%12.7%16.0%
Net margin0.2%2.9%5.4%8.9%8.8%13.0%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets21,54821,56121,64222,38824,45229,061
Cash4,1114,0964,2254,1835,4136,682
Total debt8,4506,2406,2536,2666,1615,459
Equity2,0572,2831,5341,5571,2841,209
Dividend per share ($)––––1.601.76

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%4%8%13%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)2,9883,7864,4123,5473,4264,315
Growth vs a year earlier+3.4%+6.4%+8.7%+11.4%+14.7%+14.0%
Net income ($M)-200330959212-6878
Diluted EPS ($)-1.562.487.33–-0.057.16
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Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE)

Peers in Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

CompanyX-Ray
EXPE · Expedia Group, Inc.64
BKNG · Booking Holdings Inc.69
CCL · Carnival Corp Ltd.57
ABNB · Airbnb, Inc.51
RCL · Royal Caribbean Cruises Lt...48

Market Compass outlook for Consumer Discretionary: Neutral (53/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+5.4%
1 month+1.5%
3 months+9.2%
6 months+9.1%
1 year+33.3%
3 years+182.8%
5 years+72.3%

Technical summary

DailyBullish10 bullish · 3 neutral · 3 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bullish10 bullish · 1 neutral · 1 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bullish7 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$293.06 / $258.67
52-week low / high$184.28 / $341.51
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 276.58 · S1 282.76 · P – · R1 296.88 · R2 304.82

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
27 Aug 2026$0.4800
28 May 2026$0.4800
5 Mar 2026$0.4800
19 Nov 2025$0.4000
28 Aug 2025$0.4000
29 May 2025$0.4000
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Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE)

Strengths

  • Free-cash-flow yield of 12.6% is ahead of 92% of its sector peers.
  • Holds more cash than debt (net debt to EBITDA of -0.5×).
  • Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.

Risks and weak spots

  • Altman Z score is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (0.0×).
  • Free-cash-flow growth (3y) is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (3.8%).
  • Current ratio is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (0.8×).
  • Interest cover is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (7.1×).
  • The Altman Z score of 0.0× is in the distress zone.

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
6 Aug 202610-Q
5 Aug 20268-K2.02,7.01,8.01,9.01
23 Jun 20268-K5.07
8 May 202610-Q
7 May 20268-K2.02,8.01,9.01
29 Apr 2026DEF 14A
23 Apr 20268-K5.02,7.01,9.01
10 Apr 20268-K8.01,9.01

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026