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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Western Digital Corp (WDC)

Information Technology · Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$332.00
52-week range$117.01 – $799.62
Market cap$127.2B
P/E (trailing)13.4×
EV / EBITDA26.2×
Free-cash-flow yield2.8%
Dividend yield0.2%
Revenue (last 12 months)$12.9B
Revenue growth (3y a year)27.4%
Operating margin34.5%
Return on invested capital47.3%
Net debt / EBITDA-0.1×

Fair value

Blended fair value$157.17 range $151 – $163
Versus priceOvervalued−53% to fair value
Peer multiples$100.14
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$198.05
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$173.33
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$33.15
Model uncertaintyHigh

X-Ray Score

55/ 100 · Medium confidence · ahead of 60% of sector peers
Valuation38
Growth75
Profitability51
Financial health67
Dividends41

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

-20.68182384587789Fair value $1572021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Western Digital makes hard disk drives and related data storage products used in data centers, personal computers and consumer devices. Its drives hold the data that cloud companies, businesses and individual users store. Revenue comes from selling drives to large cloud customers, computer makers, distributors and retailers, and demand depends on data growth and on the spending cycles of the biggest data center operators.

Revenue over the last twelve months came to $12.9 billion. Across three years, revenue grew 27.4% a year. It posts an operating margin of 34.5%, with return on invested capital of 47%. With net debt to EBITDA at negative 0.1 times, cash exceeds debt. The dividend yield is 0.2%.

StocksXray gives Western Digital Corp an X-Ray Score of 55 out of 100 (medium confidence), ahead of 60% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is growth (75) and its weakest is valuation (38).

Our fair value blend is $157.17 (range $151.40 to $163.00). At $332.00 the stock trades 111% above that blend, so the label is "Overvalued" with high model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
XStocksXray
Western Digital Corp (WDC)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026Now
Price$32.66$28.53$56.99$63.10$538.83$332.00
Market cap$10.3B$9.1B$18.6B$22.7B$206.4B$127.2B
P/E6.7×––12.3×22.2×13.4×
EV / revenue0.8×2.3×3.9×2.7×15.9×9.8×
EV / EBITDA4.5×50.4×148.3×9.1×42.6×26.2×
Price / free cash flow13.6×––17.7×58.8×36.2×
Free-cash-flow yield7.3%−13.5%−4.2%5.6%1.7%2.8%
Price / book0.8×0.8×1.7×4.3×23.3×14.3×
Dividend yield–––0.16%0.09%0.17%

Fundamentals checklist ● 7 Good · ● 5 Average · ● 2 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash39.6%Bad
Free-cash-flow yield2.8%Average

Risk models

Altman Z score7.0×Good
Piotroski F-Score7 of 9Good

Growth

Revenue growth (3y)27.4%Good
Growth consistency90%Average

Balance sheet

Current ratio1.3×Average
Net debt / EBITDA-0.1×Good
Interest cover27.0×Average

Valuation

Fair value vs price0.5×Bad
EBIT / EV yield3.5%Average

Profitability

Return on invested capital47.3%Good
Operating margin34.5%Good
Gross profitability45.5%Good

Red flags

  • Possible earnings-quality issue (Beneish M) — M-score -0.18 is above the -1.78 threshold even with sales growth held neutral (-0.50): profits are not well backed by cash or other accounting ratios look unusual.
  • Heavy dilution — Share count up more than 5% year on year
stocksxray.com · page 2
XStocksXray
Western Digital Corp (WDC)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26LTM
Revenue18,7936,2556,3179,52012,91912,919
Gross profit5,8741,3911,7733,6926,3116,311
Operating income2,391-548-4032,3344,4534,453
Net income1,546-902-7651,6439,4249,424
Diluted EPS ($)4.89-5.37-2.615.1224.2824.69
Free cash flow758-1,229-7811,2793,5113,511
Gross margin31.3%22.2%28.1%38.8%48.9%48.9%
Operating margin12.7%−8.8%−6.4%24.5%34.5%34.5%
Net margin8.2%−14.4%−12.1%17.3%72.9%72.9%
Balance sheetFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26LTM
Total assets26,25924,54624,18814,00213,86113,861
Cash2,3272,0231,5512,1141,5791,579
Total debt7,0227,0707,4344,7111,0521,052
Equity12,32310,96410,8185,3118,8648,864
Dividend per share ($)0.00––0.100.500.50

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

-14%15%44%73%FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Oct 2025Jan 2026Apr 2026Jul 2026
Revenue ($M)2,2942,6052,8183,0173,3373,747
Growth vs a year earlier+30.9%+30.0%+27.4%+25.2%+45.5%+43.8%
Net income ($M)5202821,1821,8423,2053,195
Diluted EPS ($)1.420.753.074.738.20–
stocksxray.com · page 3
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Western Digital Corp (WDC)

Peers in Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

CompanyX-Ray
WDC · Western Digital Corp55
SNDK · Sandisk Corp77
NTAP · NetApp, Inc.62
AAPL · Apple Inc.55
STX · Seagate Technology Holding...54

Market Compass outlook for Information Technology: Favourable (75/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week−16.4%
1 month−21.7%
3 months−31.9%
6 months−10.8%
1 year+176.2%
3 years+851.6%
5 years+679.9%

Technical summary

DailyBearish4 bullish · 0 neutral · 12 bearish
WeeklyBearish4 bullish · 1 neutral · 7 bearish
MonthlyBullish5 bullish · 1 neutral · 2 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$442.12 / $410.34
52-week low / high$117.01 / $799.62
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 320.74 · S1 326.37 · P – · R1 343.07 · R2 354.14

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
8 Sep 2026$0.1500
5 Jun 2026$0.1500
5 Mar 2026$0.1250
4 Dec 2025$0.1250
4 Sep 2025$0.1000
4 Jun 2025$0.1000
stocksxray.com · page 4
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Western Digital Corp (WDC)

Strengths

  • Return on invested capital of 47.3% is ahead of 79% of its sector peers.
  • Operating margin of 34.5% is ahead of 78% of its sector peers.
  • Revenue growth of 27.4% a year over three years is ahead of 91% of its sector peers.
  • Holds more cash than debt (net debt to EBITDA of -0.1×).
  • Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.

Risks and weak spots

  • Earnings backed by cash is weak against Information Technology peers (39.6%).
  • Fair value vs price is weak against Information Technology peers (0.5×).
  • The price is above our fair value range, so good news may already be in the price.
  • Red flag: Possible earnings-quality issue (Beneish M) (M-score -0.18 is above the -1.78 threshold even with sales growth held neutral (-0.50): profits are not well backed by cash or other accounting ratios look unusual.).
  • Red flag: Heavy dilution (Share count up more than 5% year on year).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
5 Oct 2026DEF 14A
14 Sep 20268-K7.01,8.01,9.01
26 Aug 20268-K3.02,8.01
14 Aug 202610-K
5 Aug 20268-K2.02,9.01
11 Jun 20268-K8.01
3 Jun 20268-K3.02,8.01
28 May 20268-K5.02,7.01,9.01

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026