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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL)

Financials · Property & Casualty Insurance · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$101.27
52-week range$82.45 – $107.09
Market cap$35.3B
P/E (trailing)7.9×
Dividend yield–
Revenue (last 12 months)$19.2B
Revenue growth (3y a year)27.5%
Price / book1.5×
Return on equity19.5%

Fair value

Blended fair value$130.31 book-value models
Versus priceFair+29% to fair value
Excess-return model (banks, insurers)$101.13
Price / book vs return on equity$174.08
Model uncertaintyHigh

X-Ray Score

67/ 100 · Low confidence · ahead of 97% of sector peers
Valuation77
Growth72
Profitability63
Financial health55
Dividends–

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

32.6758.4684.26110136Fair value $1302021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Arch Capital Group is a Bermuda-based insurance, reinsurance and mortgage insurance company. It writes property and casualty coverage, specialty lines and reinsurance for other insurers, and provides mortgage insurance in the United States and elsewhere. It earns money from premiums and from investing the funds it holds before claims are paid, so results depend on underwriting discipline and catastrophe losses.

Arch Capital Group Ltd. generated $19.2 billion in revenue during the last twelve months. The three-year revenue growth rate is 27.5% a year. No dividend is paid to shareholders. Operating margin shows how much of each dollar of revenue remains after operating costs.

StocksXray gives Arch Capital Group Ltd. an X-Ray Score of 67 out of 100 (low confidence), ahead of 97% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is valuation (77) and its weakest is financial health (55).

Our fair value blend is $130.31. At $101.27 the stock trades 22% below that blend, so the label is "Fair" with high model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

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Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$42.27$59.70$70.62$92.35$95.92$101.27
Market cap$16.9B$22.5B$26.8B$35.3B$36.1B$35.3B
P/E8.1×15.7×6.1×8.3×8.3×7.9×
Price / book1.2×1.7×1.5×1.7×1.5×1.5×
Dividend yield–––5.41%5.21%–

Fundamentals checklist ● 3 Good · ● 1 Average · ● 1 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Risk models

Piotroski F-Score7 of 9Average

Growth

EPS growth (3y)45.1%Good
Revenue growth (3y)27.5%Good
Growth consistency80%Bad

Valuation

Fair value vs price1.3×Good
stocksxray.com · page 2
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Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue9,2489,61313,63417,44019,92919,232
Net income2,1571,4764,4434,3124,3994,692
Diluted EPS ($)5.233.8011.6211.1911.6012.85
Net margin23.3%15.4%32.6%24.7%22.1%24.4%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets45,10147,99058,90670,90679,24185,179
Cash8598559179799931,109
Total debt2,7242,7252,7262,7282,7294,286
Equity13,54612,91018,35320,82024,20624,030
Dividend per share ($)–––5.005.00–

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%11%22%33%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)4,6735,2135,1094,9344,5214,668
Growth vs a year earlier+18.6%+23.3%+8.2%+8.5%−3.3%−10.5%
Net income ($M)5741,2371,3501,2381,0471,057
Diluted EPS ($)1.483.233.56–2.883.00
stocksxray.com · page 3
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Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL)

Peers in Property & Casualty Insurance

CompanyX-Ray
ACGL · Arch Capital Group Ltd.67
HIG · Hartford Insurance Group,...66
PGR · Progressive Corp65
CINF · Cincinnati Financial Corp64
ALL · Allstate Corp55

Market Compass outlook for Financials: Favourable (72/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+6.0%
1 month+4.7%
3 months−0.5%
6 months+3.8%
1 year+13.1%
3 years+28.3%
5 years+160.1%

Technical summary

DailyStrongly bullish12 bullish · 1 neutral · 3 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bullish10 bullish · 1 neutral · 1 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bullish7 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$97.17 / $96.39
52-week low / high$82.45 / $107.09
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 98.82 · S1 100.05 · P – · R1 102.04 · R2 102.80

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
18 Nov 2024$5.0000
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Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL)

Strengths

  • Revenue growth of 27.5% a year over three years is ahead of 95% of its sector peers.
  • Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.

Risks and weak spots

  • Growth consistency is weak against Financials peers (80%).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
4 Aug 202610-Q
28 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
16 Jun 20268-K8.01,9.01
9 Jun 20268-K1.01,2.03,8.01,9.01
3 Jun 20268-K5.02,7.01,9.01
3 Jun 20268-K1.01,8.01,9.01
2 Jun 20268-K8.01,9.01
7 May 20268-K5.07,8.01,9.01

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026