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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Cincinnati Financial Corp (CINF)

Financials · Property & Casualty Insurance · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$171.25
52-week range$146.70 – $193.71
Market cap$26.7B
P/E (trailing)8.1×
Dividend yield2.2%
Revenue (last 12 months)$14.0B
Revenue growth (3y a year)24.4%
Price / book1.6×
Return on equity20.0%

Fair value

Blended fair value$185.62 book-value models
Versus priceFair+8% to fair value
Excess-return model (banks, insurers)$145.73
Price / book vs return on equity$245.44
Model uncertaintyHigh

X-Ray Score

64/ 100 · Medium confidence · ahead of 89% of sector peers
Valuation78
Growth62
Profitability49
Financial health66
Dividends66

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

74.39105136167198Fair value $1862021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Cincinnati Financial is an insurance holding company whose main subsidiary sells commercial, personal and specialty property and casualty insurance through independent agents, mainly in the United States. It also offers life insurance and surplus lines coverage, and holds a large investment portfolio including equities. Revenue comes from premiums and investment income, so catastrophe losses and market movements affect results.

Revenue at Cincinnati Financial Corp was $14.0 billion across the last twelve months. Across three years, sales expanded by 24.4% a year. Operating profit was 30.2% of revenue. It earned a return on invested capital of 22%. Shareholders receive a dividend yielding 2.2%.

StocksXray gives Cincinnati Financial Corp an X-Ray Score of 64 out of 100 (medium confidence), ahead of 89% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is valuation (78) and its weakest is profitability (49).

Our fair value blend is $185.62. At $171.25 the stock trades 8% below that blend, so the label is "Fair" with high model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
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Cincinnati Financial Corp (CINF)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$101.17$93.19$96.91$138.09$160.56$171.25
Market cap$16.5B$14.8B$15.3B$21.8B$25.3B$26.7B
P/E5.5×–8.3×9.5×10.6×8.1×
Price / book1.3×1.4×1.3×1.6×1.6×1.6×
Dividend yield2.49%2.96%3.10%2.35%2.17%2.15%

Fundamentals checklist ● 2 Good · ● 3 Average · ● 1 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Risk models

Piotroski F-Score6 of 9Average

Growth

Revenue growth (3y)24.4%Good
Growth consistency70%Bad

Valuation

Fair value vs price1.1×Average

Profitability

Return on invested capital21.5%Good
Operating margin30.2%Average
stocksxray.com · page 2
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Cincinnati Financial Corp (CINF)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue9,6266,56310,01311,33712,63113,954
Net income2,968-4871,8432,2922,3933,327
Diluted EPS ($)18.24-3.0611.6614.5315.1721.18
Net margin30.8%−7.4%18.4%20.2%18.9%23.8%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets31,38729,73232,76936,50141,00243,231
Cash1,1391,2649079831,4311,750
Total debt843841849850861859
Equity12,76410,56212,09813,93515,91116,671
Dividend per share ($)2.522.763.003.243.483.62

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

-10%6%23%39%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)2,5663,2483,7263,0912,8634,274
Growth vs a year earlier−12.6%+27.7%+12.2%+21.8%+11.6%+31.6%
Net income ($M)-906851,1226762741,255
Diluted EPS ($)-0.574.347.11–1.758.05
stocksxray.com · page 3
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Cincinnati Financial Corp (CINF)

Peers in Property & Casualty Insurance

CompanyX-Ray
CINF · Cincinnati Financial Corp64
ACGL · Arch Capital Group Ltd.67
HIG · Hartford Insurance Group,...66
PGR · Progressive Corp65
ALL · Allstate Corp55

Market Compass outlook for Financials: Favourable (72/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+4.8%
1 month+1.4%
3 months−4.5%
6 months+3.8%
1 year+12.0%
3 years+80.1%
5 years+61.5%

Technical summary

DailyBullish11 bullish · 1 neutral · 4 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bullish9 bullish · 1 neutral · 2 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bullish7 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$167.71 / $165.76
52-week low / high$146.70 / $193.71
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 165.92 · S1 168.58 · P – · R1 172.60 · R2 173.96

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
23 Sep 2026$0.9400
23 Jun 2026$0.9400
24 Mar 2026$0.9400
22 Dec 2025$0.8700
22 Sep 2025$0.8700
23 Jun 2025$0.8700
stocksxray.com · page 4
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Cincinnati Financial Corp (CINF)

Strengths

  • Return on invested capital of 21.5% is ahead of 69% of its sector peers.
  • Revenue growth of 24.4% a year over three years is ahead of 93% of its sector peers.
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.
  • Has raised its dividend for 7 years in a row.

Risks and weak spots

  • Growth consistency is weak against Financials peers (70%).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
28 Sep 20268-K1.01,2.03,9.01
25 Aug 20268-K7.01,8.01,9.01
21 Aug 20268-K7.01,9.01
27 Jul 202610-Q
27 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
22 Jun 20268-K5.02,7.01,9.01
16 Jun 20268-K5.02,7.01,9.01
19 May 20268-K7.01,9.01

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026